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Residential property market’s recovery driven by sustained decline in new housing stock

Residential property market’s recovery driven by sustained decline in new housing stock

Residential house price growth accelerated in May 2025, primarily driven by the middle-to-upper priced segments while growth in the lower-priced segments was stable.

According to FNB Economist, Siphamandla Mkhwanazi, the market’s recovery can be primarily attributed to supply contraction – the sustained decline in new housing stock, in alignment with weak sentiment and economic conditions.

Year-to-date, the volume of newly completed homes is down 14% following annual declines of 7.4% in 2024 and 25.9% in 2023.

Stats SA’s rental market continues to reflect relatively subdued demand, with rental inflation averaging just 2.9% in Q1 2025 – unchanged from the previous quarter. Meanwhile, following a consistent downward trend since Q4 2023, apartment vacancy rates edged up to 6.7% in Q1 2025 from 6% according to Rode data.

While rental market conditions vary significantly across the major cities, most regions are experiencing strengthening demand-supply dynamics, except for Gauteng’s metros (Johannesburg and Pretoria) where the market ‘softened’ in Q1 2025.

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