Gold hits record as dollar sags and trade war concerns persist
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Gold rallied to a record as a fresh bout of US dollar weakness, criticism of the Federal Reserve by President Donald Trump and persistent trade war concerns underpinned haven demand.
Bullion roared above $3 385 an ounce, as the US currency fell to the lowest since early 2024. Trump has contemplated firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell, while making the case for lower interest rates. Fed Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee warned against efforts to curtail the monetary authority’s independence.
"Firing Powell not only undermines the principle of central-bank independence, but risks politicizing US monetary policy in a way that markets will find unsettling," said Christopher Wong, a strategist at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. If the Fed’s credibility is called into question, that could erode confidence in the dollar and accelerate flows into havens, including gold, he said.
The precious metal has soared to successive records this year as the trade conflict has unsettled markets, hurting appetite for risk assets, while accelerating a rush to havens. Holdings in bullion-backed exchange-traded funds have risen for the past 12 weeks, the longest run since 2022. Central banks have also been adding the metal to their reserves, underpinning robust worldwide demand.
On the trade front, China warned it was opposed to any party reaching a deal at the expense of Beijing's interests, according to the Ministry of Commerce. Data due this week — including revised forecasts from the International Monetary Fund — may reinforce concerns about a global slowdown.
Banks have become progressively more positive about gold's prospects as this year's rally has gone from strength to strength. Among them, Goldman Sachs Group has forecast the metal could hit $4 000 midway through next year.
Spot gold surged as much as 1.8% to touch $3 385.98 an ounce, and traded at $3 385.77 at 1:59 p.m. in Singapore. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.9%. Silver reversed an early drop to push more than 1% higher, platinum gained, while palladium declined.
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